Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Veleno 43.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Veleno leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Veleno 53.4%
Defensive zone
Veleno 68.0%
Neutral zone
Veleno 56.1%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Mittelstadt
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Mittelstadt
Veleno
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
2
Mittelstadt
Veleno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
4
Mittelstadt
Veleno
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Mittelstadt
Veleno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
42.9% (617)
+2.4%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
37.5% (16)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
33.3% (18)
+7.3%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Veleno
Home
45.1% (366)
40.7% (327)
Away
46.8% (370)
44.4% (324)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Veleno
P1
41.1%
43.2%
P2
51.1%
42.0%
P3
45.9%
42.4%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 01:41 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |