Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Veleno 47.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 59.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 71.9%
Neutral zone
Veleno 61.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Mittelstadt
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Veleno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
47.1% (420)
-2.4%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
100.0% (1)
-59.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
25.0% (8)
+15.0%
On power play, Veleno has a +59.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Veleno
Home
46.0% (491)
47.8% (201)
Away
42.4% (512)
46.1% (228)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Veleno
P1
44.0%
48.8%
P2
46.4%
47.9%
P3
41.9%
44.2%
Final 5 min
39.3%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%