Casey Mittelstadt vs John Tavares
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 52.0% vs Tavares 57.8% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 51.5%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 59.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 65.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Mittelstadt
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
59.0% (691)
-7.4%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
57.2% (173)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
63.6% (11)
+36.4%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Tavares is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Home
60.7% (89)
58.0% (500)
Away
43.1% (65)
59.7% (375)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Tavares
P1
46.3%
59.5%
P2
52.9%
58.5%
P3
58.6%
58.2%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
53.2%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.7%