Casey Mittelstadt vs John Tavares
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Tavares 58.7% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 54.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 51.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Last 6: Mittelstadt 3-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Mittelstadt
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
59.2% (1,035)
-12.8%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
60.0% (310)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
42.9% (7)
+7.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Home
47.7% (583)
57.5% (668)
Away
46.4% (541)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Tavares
P1
50.0%
58.0%
P2
46.2%
60.1%
P3
45.5%
61.0%
OT
25.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
43.8%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
47.1%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 10:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |