Casey Mittelstadt vs John Tavares
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Tavares 57.7% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 79.7%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 73.1%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 82.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Last 6: Mittelstadt 1-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Mittelstadt
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Mittelstadt
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
57.5% (914)
-12.2%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
60.5% (309)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
59.1% (22)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Home
45.1% (366)
61.0% (661)
Away
46.8% (370)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Tavares
P1
41.1%
58.6%
P2
51.1%
57.8%
P3
45.9%
58.4%
OT
30.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
45.9%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |