Casey Mittelstadt vs John Tavares
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Tavares 57.2% (-6.3%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 50.9%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 56.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 61.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Mittelstadt
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
58.0% (914)
-7.6%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
57.0% (235)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
57.9% (19)
+42.1%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Home
59.3% (91)
57.8% (614)
Away
42.5% (80)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Tavares
P1
48.8%
58.0%
P2
49.1%
56.9%
P3
56.7%
58.4%
OT
33.3%
57.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%