Casey Mittelstadt vs John Tavares
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Tavares 59.8% (-15.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 81.9%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 79.0%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 82.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Last 10: Mittelstadt 1-9 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
4
Mittelstadt
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Mittelstadt
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Mittelstadt
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
60.9% (1,043)
-15.0%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
60.4% (278)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
47.6% (21)
-25.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Home
47.2% (193)
63.5% (684)
Away
42.9% (259)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Tavares
P1
49.0%
60.3%
P2
45.7%
60.4%
P3
38.8%
60.1%
OT
50.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |