Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 52.0% vs Norris 49.4% (+4.0%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.7%
Defensive zone
Norris 52.4%
Neutral zone
Norris 56.9%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Mittelstadt
Norris
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
50.2% (203)
+1.4%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
44.4% (36)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.9% (7)
+57.1%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Norris is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Norris
Home
60.7% (89)
44.3% (115)
Away
43.1% (65)
53.4% (131)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Norris
P1
46.3%
52.1%
P2
52.9%
50.0%
P3
58.6%
45.6%
Final 5 min
55.3%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
53.2%
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
49.2%