Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Norris 51.0% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 67.0%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 65.1%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 70.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Mittelstadt
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mittelstadt
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Mittelstadt
Norris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Mittelstadt
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
51.2% (886)
-5.3%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
59.0% (83)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
38.8% (67)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Norris
Home
47.2% (193)
55.6% (487)
Away
42.9% (259)
47.0% (549)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Norris
P1
49.0%
54.8%
P2
45.7%
51.3%
P3
38.8%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |