Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Norris 52.9% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 82.3%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 61.9%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 68.3%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Mittelstadt
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mittelstadt
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
0
2
Mittelstadt
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
63.9% (36)
-18.6%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
50.0% (2)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
47.4% (19)
-6.8%
On even strength, Norris has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Norris is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Norris
Home
45.1% (366)
62.2% (37)
Away
46.8% (370)
50.0% (20)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Norris
P1
41.1%
64.3%
P2
51.1%
59.1%
P3
45.9%
52.4%
Final 5 min
44.4%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |