Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Norris 49.7% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.0%
Defensive zone
Norris 54.9%
Neutral zone
Norris 53.4%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Mittelstadt
Norris
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
50.0% (356)
+0.4%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
48.7% (76)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.9% (7)
+57.1%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Norris is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Norris
Home
59.3% (91)
47.2% (193)
Away
42.5% (80)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Norris
P1
48.8%
53.8%
P2
49.1%
48.2%
P3
56.7%
47.9%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%