Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Norris 51.9% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 71.5%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 71.7%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 70.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Mittelstadt
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Mittelstadt
Norris
Last 5: Mittelstadt 1-4 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
2
Mittelstadt
Norris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
2
Mittelstadt
Norris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
52.2% (542)
-5.8%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
54.4% (57)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
46.7% (30)
+3.3%
On even strength, Norris has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Norris
Home
47.7% (583)
50.7% (351)
Away
46.4% (541)
54.0% (278)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Norris
P1
50.0%
55.6%
P2
46.2%
49.3%
P3
45.5%
52.1%
OT
25.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Josh Norris |