Casey Mittelstadt vs Lars Eller
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Eller 50.5% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 28-13 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 92.3%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 81.4%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 85.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Mittelstadt
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
28
(41 meetings)
13
28
Mittelstadt
Eller
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
8
6
Mittelstadt
Eller
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
12
Mittelstadt
Eller
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
10
Mittelstadt
Eller
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
51.1% (10,296)
-6.1%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
52.8% (621)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
46.7% (1,751)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Eller
Home
46.7% (2,316)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Eller
P1
46.8%
51.2%
P2
46.1%
50.1%
P3
44.0%
50.2%
OT
36.6%
56.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Lars Eller |