Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Eller 49.5% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 78.1%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.7%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 68.7%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Mittelstadt
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Mittelstadt
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Mittelstadt
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Mittelstadt
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
51.1% (786)
-5.2%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
45.0% (80)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
43.6% (165)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Eller
Home
47.2% (193)
51.2% (510)
Away
42.9% (259)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Eller
P1
49.0%
50.7%
P2
45.7%
49.0%
P3
38.8%
48.3%
OT
50.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Lars Eller |