Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Eller 55.7% (-5.4%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 74.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Mittelstadt
Eller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
56.5% (434)
-6.1%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
77.8% (9)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
56.5% (46)
+43.5%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +43.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Eller
Home
59.3% (91)
53.1% (211)
Away
42.5% (80)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Eller
P1
48.8%
55.4%
P2
49.1%
58.1%
P3
56.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%