Casey Mittelstadt vs Nick Bjugstad
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 67.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 87.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 64.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Last 6: Mittelstadt 5-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
4
0
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
49.4% (867)
-4.1%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
56.0% (25)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
40.7% (216)
-0.1%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Mittelstadt is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Home
45.1% (366)
46.5% (480)
Away
46.8% (370)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
P1
41.1%
48.7%
P2
51.1%
45.6%
P3
45.9%
49.1%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |