Casey Mittelstadt vs Nick Bjugstad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 19-16 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 55.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 76.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 60.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
16
(35 meetings)
19
16
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Last 10: Mittelstadt 7-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
14
2
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
8
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
6
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
48.6% (6,634)
-3.6%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
55.2% (829)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
44.3% (614)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Home
46.7% (2,316)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
P1
46.8%
49.0%
P2
46.1%
49.1%
P3
44.0%
48.4%
OT
36.6%
61.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:42 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |