Casey Mittelstadt vs Nick Bjugstad
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 54.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 54.4%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 52.2%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
46.7% (398)
-2.0%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
51.6% (31)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
62.5% (8)
-22.5%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Home
46.0% (491)
47.3% (220)
Away
42.4% (512)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
P1
44.0%
46.1%
P2
46.4%
46.3%
P3
41.9%
50.4%
Final 5 min
39.3%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:42 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |