Casey Mittelstadt vs Nick Bjugstad
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 66.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 81.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 69.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Last 9: Mittelstadt 7-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
5
0
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
50.7% (906)
-4.3%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
48.1% (108)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
44.4% (239)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Home
47.7% (583)
49.8% (643)
Away
46.4% (541)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
P1
50.0%
49.4%
P2
46.2%
50.5%
P3
45.5%
47.9%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |