Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Paul 53.3% (-2.6%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 53.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 57.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Mittelstadt
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
53.2% (327)
-2.8%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
61.4% (57)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (32)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Paul
Home
59.3% (91)
54.6% (183)
Away
42.5% (80)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Paul
P1
48.8%
56.3%
P2
49.1%
54.8%
P3
56.7%
52.4%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%