Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Cates 45.5% (+6.6%)
Offensive zone
Cates 50.2%
Defensive zone
Cates 56.8%
Neutral zone
Cates 57.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Mittelstadt
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
45.4% (712)
+5.0%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
42.2% (102)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.7% (47)
+55.3%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Cates
Home
59.3% (91)
46.3% (423)
Away
42.5% (80)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Cates
P1
48.8%
46.3%
P2
49.1%
47.1%
P3
56.7%
42.1%
OT
33.3%
18.2%
Final 5 min
54.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%