Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Bennett 48.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 50.7%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 55.0%
Neutral zone
Bennett 51.3%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
46.4% (780)
+4.0%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
57.3% (150)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.8% (46)
+52.2%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Home
59.3% (91)
50.3% (519)
Away
42.5% (80)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Bennett
P1
48.8%
47.5%
P2
49.1%
46.6%
P3
56.7%
49.8%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | OT | 02:55 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |