Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Bennett 45.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 53.1%
Defensive zone
Bennett 51.6%
Neutral zone
Bennett 52.2%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Mittelstadt
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Mittelstadt
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
44.7% (772)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
56.9% (58)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
42.9% (28)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Bennett is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Home
47.7% (583)
48.5% (447)
Away
46.4% (541)
42.1% (411)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Bennett
P1
50.0%
47.1%
P2
46.2%
45.8%
P3
45.5%
42.9%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |