Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Bennett 47.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 51.6%
Defensive zone
Bennett 62.8%
Neutral zone
Bennett 59.4%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Last 7: Mittelstadt 4-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
3
Mittelstadt
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
48.2% (766)
-2.9%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
45.1% (82)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
33.9% (56)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Home
45.1% (366)
49.1% (458)
Away
46.8% (370)
44.8% (446)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Bennett
P1
41.1%
47.9%
P2
51.1%
47.2%
P3
45.9%
46.4%
OT
30.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |