Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Bennett 46.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 60.9%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 63.9%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 56.8%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
5
Mittelstadt
Bennett
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
2
Mittelstadt
Bennett
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
46.5% (909)
-1.8%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
43.1% (51)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
38.5% (13)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Home
46.0% (491)
45.4% (449)
Away
42.4% (512)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Bennett
P1
44.0%
49.6%
P2
46.4%
43.7%
P3
41.9%
45.1%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
39.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:17 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 15:44 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |