Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Bennett 47.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 51.9%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 70.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 72.7%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
4
Mittelstadt
Bennett
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Mittelstadt
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Mittelstadt
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
45.5% (756)
+0.4%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
63.0% (92)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
31.0% (29)
-8.8%
On power play, Bennett has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Bennett is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Home
47.2% (193)
46.5% (456)
Away
42.9% (259)
47.3% (421)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Bennett
P1
49.0%
46.6%
P2
45.7%
50.5%
P3
38.8%
43.5%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
41.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 07:20 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |