Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Steel 50.2% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 71.4%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 54.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 56.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Mittelstadt
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Mittelstadt
Steel
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
5
Mittelstadt
Steel
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
50.6% (2,876)
-5.6%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
62.6% (179)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
37.4% (254)
+0.1%
On power play, Steel has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Steel
Home
46.7% (2,316)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Steel
P1
46.8%
51.9%
P2
46.1%
49.5%
P3
44.0%
49.6%
OT
36.6%
41.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 01:02 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 7, 2023 | OT | 02:06 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 16:47 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 21, 2018 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |