Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Steel 46.6% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 71.4%
Defensive zone
Steel 65.5%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 52.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Mittelstadt
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mittelstadt
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Mittelstadt
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
44.6% (177)
+1.8%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
66.7% (3)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
44.8% (29)
+5.2%
On power play, Steel has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Steel is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Steel
Home
47.7% (583)
46.7% (90)
Away
46.4% (541)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Steel
P1
50.0%
47.8%
P2
46.2%
47.0%
P3
45.5%
41.3%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Sam Steel |