Casey Mittelstadt vs Sam Steel

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 50.8%).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Steel 50.6% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone Mittelstadt 64.1%
Defensive zone Steel 57.4%
Neutral zone Steel 53.4%
Result Casey Mittelstadt favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Mittelstadt Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mittelstadt
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
52.5% (200)
-2.1%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
71.4% (7)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
40.0% (45)
+60.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +60.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Steel shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Steel
Home
59.3% (91)
49.5% (109)
Away
42.5% (80)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Steel
P1
48.8%
49.5%
P2
49.1%
47.5%
P3
56.7%
56.6%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%
50.5%
51.5%
Steel
50.0%
49.0%
50.8%