Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Steel 48.8% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 51.5%
Defensive zone
Steel 61.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 61.3%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Mittelstadt
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
49.5% (553)
-4.2%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
61.3% (31)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
30.6% (49)
+10.0%
On power play, Steel has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Steel
Home
45.1% (366)
46.4% (347)
Away
46.8% (370)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Steel
P1
41.1%
52.1%
P2
51.1%
49.8%
P3
45.9%
45.2%
OT
30.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2023 | OT | 02:06 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |