Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Hertl 52.3% (-7.8%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 63.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 51.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Mittelstadt
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
51.6% (1,084)
-5.7%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
61.0% (246)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
44.1% (136)
-21.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Hertl
Home
47.2% (193)
55.2% (696)
Away
42.9% (259)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Hertl
P1
49.0%
55.4%
P2
45.7%
54.8%
P3
38.8%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%