Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Hertl 54.5% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 78.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 67.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 62.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Mittelstadt
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Mittelstadt
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
54.1% (1,117)
-8.8%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
59.8% (296)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
34.4% (32)
+6.2%
On power play, Hertl has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Hertl
Home
45.1% (366)
54.3% (709)
Away
46.8% (370)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Hertl
P1
41.1%
51.6%
P2
51.1%
53.6%
P3
45.9%
58.6%
OT
30.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
44.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 13:45 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |