Casey Mittelstadt vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 66.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 62.3%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 50.7%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
58.5% (135)
-8.1%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
80.0% (5)
-25.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.4% (18)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Home
59.3% (91)
63.7% (91)
Away
42.5% (80)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
P1
48.8%
54.4%
P2
49.1%
66.7%
P3
56.7%
51.9%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | William Karlsson |