Casey Mittelstadt vs William Karlsson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 68.3%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 59.9%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
51.4% (735)
-5.5%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
63.5% (115)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
42.9% (133)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Home
47.2% (193)
52.3% (524)
Away
42.9% (259)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
P1
49.0%
50.7%
P2
45.7%
51.4%
P3
38.8%
53.2%
OT
50.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
41.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |