Casey Mittelstadt vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 20-10 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 90.7%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 86.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 86.5%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 87.9%
87.9%
12.1%
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
20
(30 meetings)
10
20
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
8
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
7
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
4
5
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
51.8% (7,849)
-6.8%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
54.8% (1,048)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
44.2% (1,109)
-6.7%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Home
46.7% (2,316)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
P1
46.8%
50.3%
P2
46.1%
51.3%
P3
44.0%
52.4%
OT
36.6%
44.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:19 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:43 | Neutral | William Karlsson |