Casey Mittelstadt vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 70.2%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 55.3%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 69.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Last 6: Mittelstadt 2-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
55.3% (897)
-10.0%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
61.1% (113)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
50.8% (132)
-10.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Home
45.1% (366)
58.6% (560)
Away
46.8% (370)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
P1
41.1%
55.8%
P2
51.1%
55.6%
P3
45.9%
55.7%
OT
30.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | William Karlsson |