Casey Mittelstadt vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 60.1%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 59.9%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 61.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Last 10: Mittelstadt 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
4
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
2
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
58.6% (597)
-13.9%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
57.9% (57)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
51.9% (52)
-11.9%
On power play, Karlsson has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Home
46.0% (491)
59.6% (344)
Away
42.4% (512)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
P1
44.0%
53.1%
P2
46.4%
62.1%
P3
41.9%
60.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.3%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:19 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |