Casey Mittelstadt vs Yanni Gourde
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Gourde 49.7% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 68.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 86.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 76.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
0
Mittelstadt
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
49.1% (847)
-3.8%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
79.5% (44)
-29.9%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
39.5% (81)
+1.1%
On power play, Gourde has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Home
45.1% (366)
50.1% (491)
Away
46.8% (370)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Gourde
P1
41.1%
54.7%
P2
51.1%
45.0%
P3
45.9%
49.4%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |