Casey Mittelstadt vs Yanni Gourde
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Gourde 46.0% (+6.0%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 72.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 71.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 61.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Mittelstadt
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
47.2% (654)
+3.2%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
45.0% (20)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
32.2% (87)
+67.8%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +67.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Home
59.3% (91)
44.1% (322)
Away
42.5% (80)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Gourde
P1
48.8%
42.4%
P2
49.1%
49.8%
P3
56.7%
44.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%