Casey Mittelstadt vs Yanni Gourde
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Gourde 48.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 62.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 72.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 61.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
7
3
Mittelstadt
Gourde
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
5
7
Mittelstadt
Gourde
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Mittelstadt
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
48.4% (4,954)
-3.4%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
57.4% (376)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
39.9% (554)
-2.4%
On power play, Gourde has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Home
46.7% (2,316)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Gourde
P1
46.8%
49.9%
P2
46.1%
47.4%
P3
44.0%
47.5%
OT
36.6%
37.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:50 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |