Casey Mittelstadt vs Yanni Gourde
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Gourde 49.7% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 80.6%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 72.4%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 73.9%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Mittelstadt
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
3
6
Mittelstadt
Gourde
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Mittelstadt
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
51.2% (469)
-6.5%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
42.9% (21)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
37.5% (48)
+2.5%
On even strength, Gourde has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Home
46.0% (491)
47.8% (301)
Away
42.4% (512)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Gourde
P1
44.0%
47.3%
P2
46.4%
53.4%
P3
41.9%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
44.2%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |