Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Stephenson 57.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 58.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 65.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 59.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Horvat
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Horvat
Stephenson
Last 10: Horvat 1-9 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
7
Horvat
Stephenson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Stephenson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
0
2
Horvat
Stephenson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
57.7% (837)
-3.0%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
64.2% (226)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
47.5% (99)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stephenson
Home
59.8% (853)
56.2% (589)
Away
53.8% (832)
60.0% (573)
By Period
Horvat
Stephenson
P1
55.0%
58.3%
P2
58.3%
58.3%
P3
57.8%
57.9%
OT
44.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
59.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |