Chandler Stephenson vs Mason McTavish
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs McTavish 43.3% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 96.5%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 84.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 90.1%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 90.3%
90.3%
9.7%
Stephenson
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Stephenson
McTavish
Last 6: Stephenson 5-1 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
42.4% (675)
+15.3%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
40.5% (42)
+23.7%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
50.0% (8)
-2.5%
On power play, Stephenson has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Stephenson shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Stephenson
McTavish
Home
56.2% (589)
41.9% (372)
Away
60.0% (573)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Stephenson
McTavish
P1
58.3%
47.2%
P2
58.3%
36.2%
P3
57.9%
43.6%
OT
54.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 28, 2022 | OT | 04:57 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:37 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |