Chandler Stephenson vs Mason McTavish
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs McTavish 49.0% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 63.5%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 73.1%
Neutral zone
McTavish 53.0%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Stephenson
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Stephenson
McTavish
Last 10: Stephenson 3-7 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Stephenson
McTavish
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
1
Stephenson
McTavish
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
3
Stephenson
McTavish
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
47.6% (616)
+4.5%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
57.8% (102)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
33.3% (6)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Stephenson shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Stephenson
McTavish
Home
53.1% (672)
52.2% (389)
Away
51.1% (554)
45.1% (335)
By Period
Stephenson
McTavish
P1
54.6%
50.0%
P2
51.3%
47.9%
P3
51.2%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:52 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |