Chandler Stephenson vs Mason McTavish
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 51.7%). Look for McTavish on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs McTavish 51.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 50.6%
Defensive zone
McTavish 50.6%
Neutral zone
McTavish 59.1%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Stephenson
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Stephenson
McTavish
Last 10: Stephenson 4-6 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
Stephenson
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
4
Stephenson
McTavish
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
51.3% (725)
+0.3%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
55.8% (113)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
28.6% (7)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Stephenson shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Stephenson
McTavish
Home
52.5% (499)
52.0% (454)
Away
52.6% (551)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Stephenson
McTavish
P1
50.2%
51.3%
P2
55.7%
50.4%
P3
50.9%
53.3%
OT
63.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 11:38 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |