Chandler Stephenson vs Mason McTavish
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 50.7%). Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs McTavish 50.6% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 59.2%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 76.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 62.7%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Stephenson
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Stephenson
McTavish
Last 10: Stephenson 7-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
5
2
Stephenson
McTavish
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
4
2
Stephenson
McTavish
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
51.1% (769)
+0.1%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
50.6% (178)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
28.6% (14)
+19.1%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Stephenson
McTavish
Home
52.2% (751)
52.3% (461)
Away
51.0% (723)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Stephenson
McTavish
P1
50.4%
51.5%
P2
51.5%
54.0%
P3
53.3%
47.1%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:46 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |