Chandler Stephenson vs Morgan Frost
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Frost 49.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 56.1%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 69.7%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 56.1%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Stephenson
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Stephenson
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
48.6% (704)
+3.0%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
55.7% (115)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
25.0% (4)
+19.3%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Stephenson shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Frost
Home
52.5% (499)
49.9% (399)
Away
52.6% (551)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Stephenson
Frost
P1
50.2%
51.2%
P2
55.7%
53.9%
P3
50.9%
42.7%
OT
63.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.6%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |