Chandler Stephenson vs Morgan Frost
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.2%). Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Frost 51.1% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 76.7%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 72.3%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 52.3%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Stephenson
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Stephenson
Frost
Last 10: Stephenson 3-7 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
5
Stephenson
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
3
Stephenson
Frost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
50.3% (825)
+0.9%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
54.9% (204)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
50.0% (4)
-2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Frost
Home
52.2% (751)
50.7% (489)
Away
51.0% (723)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Stephenson
Frost
P1
50.4%
53.6%
P2
51.5%
47.8%
P3
53.3%
52.0%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:19 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:03 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |