Chandler Stephenson vs Morgan Frost
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Frost 55.7% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 62.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 77.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 57.7%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Stephenson
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Stephenson
Frost
Last 7: Stephenson 3-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stephenson
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Stephenson
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
54.9% (701)
-2.8%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
60.8% (166)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
100.0% (5)
-60.1%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +60.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Stephenson shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Frost
Home
53.1% (672)
56.0% (443)
Away
51.1% (554)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Stephenson
Frost
P1
54.6%
58.9%
P2
51.3%
55.3%
P3
51.2%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |