Chandler Stephenson vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Frost 50.3% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 53.6%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 74.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 57.1%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Stephenson
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
15
(33 meetings)
18
15
Stephenson
Frost
Last 10: Stephenson 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
4
9
Stephenson
Frost
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
6
3
Stephenson
Frost
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
8
3
Stephenson
Frost
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
49.4% (3,598)
+2.5%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
55.5% (625)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
52.8% (36)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Stephenson shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Frost
Home
52.6% (3,827)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Stephenson
Frost
P1
51.6%
50.8%
P2
52.4%
51.1%
P3
52.8%
48.5%
OT
57.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:19 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:03 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |